The Crypto Supply Cut No One Is Considering

Hey Jesscoiners

If there's one thing that gets Bitcoiners excited its the idea of an immutable monetary policy that isn't changing a damn as everyone has a vested interest in it remaining the same. The game theory is set in stone, and every 4 years we get a halving of the supply that kicks off the next bull run a year and 6 months, or so later you start to see the effects.

You can see this play out in the Bitcoin charts over the last 12 years with a certain level of precision when you zoom out on a large enough time frame.

As people accumulate crypto over the years, some are lost as I tend to mention quite often, and others get in so cheap that they're willing to HODL as it comes at no cost to them to worry about price movements.

Lol smarty money maybes?

As biased as I am, I like to think I am part of the smart money trying to accumulate as much BTC as I can while I wait to see how this all plays out.

The truth is, I've got no investment opportunities that look as promising as stacking sats, and I've got fait I earn each month that is dying in the window faster than a filet mignon once it's been put on the plate.

If I'm going to lose it in Bitcoin fuckit, I was losing it any fucking way by saving it so what's the difference right?

The supply shock is playing out

As expected the new supply stock has set in and the new stock to flow model is moving along as plan B has modelled which is pretty nuts since models tend to mostly fail or deviate like a mother fucker, but this plan B has a pretty good standard deviation, who would have thought?

If you consider he can't factor in all the shit that happens in the future like money printing, social unrest and all that jazz, you have to give him props for his modelling.

I wish I could model like that. Unfortunately, all I can do is date models when my BTC moons to 288k like his predicting; I guess I'll take it.

Alts are same-same but different

As the crypto market becomes more diversified with new projects and shit coins that are so stubborn and refuse to die, we often forget that each project has its own way of handling inflation just like Bitcoin.

Zcash recently had its halving, Litecoin had its halving a year before Bitcoin, Hive reduces its supply each year, and so many other alts do the same in various ways.

In fact, it's the free market showing us competition monetary policies, and we're testing out which ones work for various reasons.

Source: - giphy.com

As the altcoin market matures, remember BTC had quite the head start and his pretty much a grandpa to all these other coins, we don't know what the various supply shocks will do nor do we account for them, because apart from the founding team and shillers no one actually gives two shits about the economics of an altcoin.

I guess what I am trying to say is BTC will raise all ships as its supply shock drives FOMO but depending on the alt you hold its economic policy will also come into play as prices move up and could provide an additional short squeeze on supply. We'll see coins get overbought because FOMO right?

I mean if people are overbuying stable coins, then fuckit anything is possible.

Have your say

What do you good people of HIVE think?

So have at it my Jessies! If you don't have something to comment, comment "I am a Jessie."

Let's connect

If you liked this post, sprinkle it with an upvote or esteem and if you don't already, consider following me @chekohler and subscribe to my fanbase

Browse & Earn Crypto	Deposit $100 & Earn $10	Earn Interest On Crypto

---