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Belgian Pro League Early Bets

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@costanza
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In a couple of weeks, the Belgian Pro League Regular season is starting again and I already have some early bets.

I already was tempted to take some bets on some 1x2 books as they had their odds released first. It didn't take long for the Asians also to release their lines (See Screenshot above).

The importance of good oddsBefore starting this season, I once again want to address the importance of always being able to get the best odds and how neglecting this will most likely end up losing you money. The main reason I make previews and share my bets exactly as I take them also keeping close track of the results is to help myself stay sharp. I take all my bets on my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who pretty much always offer the most competitive odds from different Asian bookies with 1 click.

The limits on the Belgian League especially on the early market aren't that big and me taking my bets tends to move the line a couple cent which makes it not always easy to follow. My overall edge has shown to be around 3%-4%. This means that a couple cent move represents a large part of this already narrow edge. I would say make sure you have access to good odds not just settling with local bookies that are most convenient and see all what I'm doing just as information on how to potentially beat the betting market.

Week 1 Early Bets

I took 2 small-medium early bets already also sharing them as always in the SBC Discord at the time I took them.

Kv Mechelen vs AntwerpI ended up taking 0.4 units on Antwerp +0 @ 2.039 (now 1.994). Antwerp can be considered a new top team taking the place of Standard in the Big 5. They have a lot of ambition and the funds to back this up which so far showed in the transfer window. They should be able to start the league quite strong against Kv Mechelen who had a great season last year making them lose some key players while their coach also left. Even though I'm expecting a close match as it's just rarely easy for the home team, I do see it more likely for Antwerp to just turn out to be way too strong than the other way around. Public money likely also will be on Antwerp so I'm happy to get some in early on them as the underdogs. Both teams have dutch coaches and Mechelen always goes for it at home so I do also expect goals. I did take a 60 USDC Crypto bet on Over 2.5 @ 1.663 over at sx.bet which I'm testing out this year on the Polygon Network.

Westerlo vs Cercle BruggeWesterlo is a newly promoted team and it very much looks like they will be competitive as they made some strong transfers. Traditionally the first home game of promoted teams tends to turn out into a strong performance for them. This usually also gets picked up by the sharp betting action on the Asian markets. Union last season went from +1 to +0.25 line, OHL the year before from -0.25 to -0.5. Cercle Brugge was hot near the end of last season but they lost some of their best players and aren't really that special. I also took a small-medium 0.4 unit bet on Westerlo +0 @ 2.000

I have been tracking the bold selection preview bets with flat unit stakes for the last 2 seasons which so far resulted in 422 bets good for +5.55% ROI. I will continue going about it in the same way this season and see where it goes. My personal overall results in the past 5 seasons:

Season 2021-2022 | 1364 Bets +2.72% ROI Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

Crypto Bets Each year, more and more options become available to bet using crypto in a more decentralized way. While this is by no means comes close to the product and odds offered by Sportmarket Pro, I do on occasion take a little bit extra in Crypto

Season 2022-2023 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
24/07/2022KVM vs ANT O2.560 USDC1.663TBDsx.bet

Sportbet.one

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Wagerr.com

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Wink.org|

Betfury.io

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sx.bet

YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total326152152192.631+0.124074+4.72%

IMPORTANT !Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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