Posts

Week 1 Results | 25W-13L-7P | +1.747 Units Profit

avatar of @costanza
25
@costanza
·
·
0 views
·
4 min read

This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.

That being said, the first week of the new season was actually really fun with a lot of great matches and some really good overall profit. I certainly can't complain about luck with many late goals going my way even though I would also still have liked the bets in case they would have lost. I'm still searching a bit as I increased what represents a 1 unit stake this season by 60% since I can easily handle it bankroll-wise. I tend to have a hard time pulling the trigger on a bet all at once, so I usually get in over multiple smaller positions pre-game and during the match. I still need to find the right balance though as I do feel my initial unit sizing is still too low at the moment. I'm sure I'll figure it all out as I go along.

Pre-Game Preview Bets

Similar to last season, I will put some of the pre-game bets that I took as bold selections in the previews that I'm writing tracking the results with 1 unit flat stakes.

Last season (See Final Results Post there were 236 of these selection which produced a whopping +30.594 units profit good for +12.96% ROI

I don't expect this season to come nearly close to this as I clearly ran way above the expectations (I don't believe I'm that good). Some regression to the mean is always possible and there is no clear pattern between pre-game and live bets over the seasons aside from that they have been overall profitable over the years.

For week 1 (including the Super Cup match), I had 7 bets in total which showed an overall profit of +0.765 units so I'm off to a good start. I will continue to keep track of them in these weekly results roundups.

Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021

23/07/2021 Genk Team Total Over 1 @ 2.039 (HT 0-0) FT 1-1 Bet PUSHED

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

Similar to each season, the chart of the first week is pretty irrelevant since there is no volume whatsoever. this causes the pink expected line and the actual blue profit line. +1.747 Units profit is pretty nice to have for the first week (calculated in the units of last season that is 2.79). The overall goal is to be able to put in more overall volume this season hopefully not getting crushed on it.

Regular Season Results 2021-2022

Week 01 Results 45 Bets | 25W-13L-07P | Staked 7.376u | +1.747u Profit

 Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 
45 Bets | 25W-13L-07P | 7.276 Staked | +1.747u Profit | +23.68% ROI 

Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

I'll be back next weekend with all the previews for week 2 in the league (Some bets have already been shared on the SBC Discord). There are no more matches on Mondays so I'll be making these results reports a day sooner compared to last season.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta