Horse racing - Follow the Tipster - Winter - 16th Jan 2023
Yesterday's Recap - 15th January, 2023
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| A third placed finish for our pick yesterday who disputed the lead early on, outright lead after 1f, hard pressed 2f out, headed over 1f out, ridden inside final 110 yards, no chance with leading pair near finish |
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Tipster Currently Being Followed - Lee Sobot
Stats(since start of the current competition) source
Rory Delargy remains out in front of the leader board maintaining his leading profit margin of nearly £4.00. Today, with racing abandonded at Fontwell, due to a water-logged track, we will be taking the selection of 3rd placed Lee Sobot, and hoping we won't now jinx him. He is currently a good run of form with a record of 9 wins and 6 losses in January, and as can be seen from the table above an overall 41-38 record for the season. Odds aren't great but we need a winner, so fingers crossed this will be it.
Daily Summary
Our losing runs extends to 6, with the latest third place from our selection yesterday, but we persevere with today's pick.
| **Date | Selection | Odds Taken | Result | SP Odds | Winnings | Win/ Loss/NR | Strike Rate | Profit/ (Loss) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B/f | 14-53-2 | 20.28% | (£1.51) | |||||
| 1st Jan | Midnight River | 13-2 | 1st | 6-1 | £0.75 | 15-53-2 | 21.42% | (£0.86) |
| 2nd Jan | Sir Rodneyredblood | 18-1 | 6th | 22-1 | £0.00 | 15-54-2 | 21.11% | (£0.96) |
| 3rd Jan | Red Alert | 10-1 | 3rd | 16-1 | £0.00 | 15-55-2 | 20.83% | (£1.06) |
| 4th Jan | Molly Valentine | 15-2 | 5th | 17-2 | £0.00 | 15-56-2 | 20.55% | (£1.16) |
| 5th Jan | Bolsover Bill | 2-1 | 1st | 2-1 | £0.30 | 16-56-2 | 21.62% | (£0.96) |
| 6th Jan | My Bobby Dazzler | 15-2 | 5th | 13-2 | £0.00 | 16-57-2 | 21.33% | (£1.06) |
| 7th Jan | Grey Diamond | 9-4 | FELL | 4-1 | £0.00 | 16-58-2 | 21.05% | (£1.16) |
| 8th Jan | Celtic Champion | 11-8 | 5th | 5-4 | £0.00 | 16-59-2 | 20.77% | (£1.26) |
| 9th Jan | Adafil | 8-15 | 1st | 8-15 | £0.15 | 17-59-2 | 21.79% | (£1.21) |
| 10th Jan | The Imposter | 1-1 | 2nd | 11-10 | £0.00 | 17-60-2 | 21.51% | (£1.31) |
| 11th Jan | Lady Nagin | 18-1 | 4th | 14-1 | £0.00 | 17-61-2 | 21.25% | (£1.41) |
| 12th Jan | Mabre | 9-4 | 4th | 7-2 | £0.00 | 17-62-2 | 20.99% | (£1.51) |
| 13th Jan | Sundayinmay | 5-2 | 2nd | 5-2 | £0.00 | 17-63-2 | 20.73% | (£1.61) |
| 14th Jan | Guetapan Collonges | 6-1 | 4th | 5-1 | £0.00 | 17-64-2 | 20.48% | (£1.71) |
| 15th Jan | Seagrave Fox | 7-2 | 3rd | 7-2 | £0.00 | 17-65-2 | 20.23% | (£1.81) |
Best Odds in BOLD
Monthly Summary
| No of Bets | Total Staked | Total Returns | Total Profit/(Loss) | Running Total | W/L/NR | Strike Rate | W/L Streak (days) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2022 | 20 | £2.00 | £1.62 | (£0.38) | (£0.38) | 4-17 | 19.04% | |
| Nov 2022 | 21 | £2.10 | £2.30 | £0.20 | (£0.18) | 5-14-2 | 21.43% | |
| Dec 2022 | 27 | £2.70 | £1.37 | (£1.33) | (£1.51) | 5-21-0 | 20.00% | |
| Jan 2023 | 15 | £1.50 | £1.20 | (£0.30) | (£1.81) | 3-12-0 | 20.00% | L - 6 |
Today's Bet - 15th Jan, 2023
| Tipster | Lee Sobot | Selection | Letsbeclearaboutit |
| Race Name | Think Group Deals at Festival 2023 Maiden Hurdle | Time & Venue | 2.50 Punchestown |
| Age Group | 4 yo+ | Class | |
| Distance | 3M 100YY | No. of Runners | 10 |
| Drawn | Recent Form | 11221/242 | |
| Surface | Turf | Going | Heavy |
| Jockey | Keith Donoghue | Trainer | Gavin Patrick Cromwell |
| Odds Taken | 1-2 | Stake | £0.10 |
| Bet Type | Win | Estimated Returns | £0.15 |
Promising type. Good 4¼ lengths second of 5 to Favori De Champdou in Gr 2 hurdle (4/1) at Limerick (23f, heavy) 20 days ago. Very much the one to beat.
Jockey Keith Donoghue, rode this gelding to second place at Downpatrick in November, and will be looking to go one place better this time outm, and add to his 19 hurdles victories this season.
4 of the 41 winners for trainer Gavin Patrick Cromwell have come at this course this season, with two those over hurdles.
More Information
Seagrave Fox - Stats
(source RacingTV.com)
Keith Donoghue - Stats
(source Timeform)
Gavin Patrick Cromwell - Stats
(source Timeform)
Cheeky Extra Bet
No extra bet today
If you are following the strategy let me know how you're doing overall, what odds you got on this race?, were they better/worse than I took?. Do you have a strategy of your own? I'll send 500 SPORTS tokens if you leave a relevant comment.
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