Famous wrong tech predictions: 1977 "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home" (Ken Olsen, Founder of Digital Equipment Corp)
Berühmte Fehleinschätzungen:
1977 Niemand braucht einen Computer zu Hause Ken Olsen, Founder Digital Equipment Corp
2001 Das Internet wird kein Massenmedium Matthias Horx, Zukunftsforscher
2011 Bitcoin: Irrsinn Alternativwährungen Eric Frey, DerStandard
2013 Bitcoin gehört verboten Eric Frey, DerStandard
Mittlerweile gibt es weltweit laut Schätzungen 1.5 Milliarden PCs auf der Welt und 6.6 Milliarden Smartphones, die mit dem Internet verbunden sind.
Laut einer Studie der Fed haben in den USA im Jahr 2021 12% der Erwachsenen Kryptowährungen gehalten.
Was sagt ihr dazu? Manchmal irren sich Zukunftsforscher gewaltig.
Billboard in Vienna with old quotes: "Nobody needs a computer at home"
English
Famous misjudgments:
1977 There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home Ken Olsen, Founder Digital Equipment Corp
2001 The Internet will not become a mass medium Matthias Horx, futurologist
2011 Bitcoin: Alternative currencies are insane Eric Frey, DerStandard
2013 Bitcoin should be banned Eric Frey, DerStandard
There are now an estimated 1.5 billion PCs in the world and 6.6 billion smartphones connected to the Internet.
According to a Fed study, 12% of adults in the U.S. have held cryptocurrencies in 2021.
What do you think? Do you have other examples? Sometimes futurologists are very wrong.
Sources
[1] Fed Survey: 12% of US Adults Held Crypto in 2021 https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2022/05/23/fed-survey-12-of-us-adults-held-crypto-in-2021/ [2] "Irrsinn Alternativwährungen" https://www.derstandard.at/story/1304554254077/irrsinn-alternativwaehrungen [3] "Internet wird kein Massenmedium" https://www.derstandard.at/story/496477/internet-wird-kein-massenmedium [4] "Bitcoins gehören verboten" https://www.derstandard.at/story/1385170130002/bitcoins-gehoeren-verboten [5] "Stoppt den Kryptowahnsinn" https://www.derstandard.at/story/2000135974572/stoppt-den-kryptowahnsinn
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