El Múltiplo de Puell // The Puell Multiple
El Múltiplo de Puell // The Puell Multiple
Existen en cambio indicadores que nos pueden ayudar a decidir cuando el ciclo ha llegado a su zona de venta y cuando lleva a su zona de compra. Uno de esos indicadores que han resultado más precisos es el Múltiple de Puell.
Si a alguien le interesa la explicacion más especifica de este indicador puede ver el artículo en este enlace. A nivel básico el indicador combina factores de precio con factores de rentabilidad de los mineros. Hay períodos de tiempo en los que el valor de la extracción de bitcoins y la entrada al mercado es demasiado grande o demasiado pequeño en relación con las normas históricas. Este indicador nos ayuda a comprender estos períodos de tiempo y puede ser beneficioso para el inversor estratégico de Bitcoin.
With the recent increases in the price of bitcoin, we have begun to see opinions in the twitter specialized in cryptomonies about which will be the price cap in this cycle that comes after the recent halving. For my part, I think it is premature to speculate on a price or wait until it reaches a certain price to sell because it is something we cannot know for sure.
Instead, there are indicators that can help us decide when the cycle has reached its selling area and when it leads to its buying area. One of those indicators that have proven to be more accurate is Puell's Multiple.
If anyone is interested in a more specific explanation of this indicator, they can see the article at this link. At a basic level, the indicator combines price factors with miners' profitability factors. There are periods of time when the value of bitcoin extraction and market entry is either too large or too small in relation to historical norms. This indicator helps us understand these time periods and can be beneficial to the strategic Bitcoin investor.
Siguiendo los ciclos según se vienen produciendo, todo indica que el siguiente ATH de bitcoin se producirá a finales del 2021. Veremos entonces cual será el precio que se alcanzará. Será muy interesante verlo.
As you can see in the detailed figure, if we put the indicator in coefficient, we can establish clear moments of purchase and sale of bitcoin, without really worrying about what the price is at that moment. This indicator is based on the fact that the price of bitcoin is directly related to the benefit that mining brings as its complexity increases in the halvings.
Following the cycles, as they are being produced, everything indicates that the next bitcoin ATH will be produced at the end of 2021. We will see then what will be the price that will be reached. It will be very interesting to see it.
Modelo Stock-to-Flow // The stock-to-flow model
Otro de los indicadores ya conocidos de este tipo es el STOCK-TO-FLOW, que compara el modelo de precios del bitcoin con el de otros activos de suply limitada como el Oro o la plata. De momento los ciclos que predice se han ido cumpliendo año tras año.
Este modelo si que hace también una predicción más o menos precisa del precio, que se situará si se sigue cumpliendo en algun punto entre 100ks y 200ks.
Through the "lookintobitcoin" page you can see many interesting indicators that can help us make a timely decision as to when to sell, which is one of the doubts that always assail us amateur investors. We know that it is an asset that revalues very quickly, but in its cycles it also falls very quickly leaving little time to make a really profitable buy/sell.
Another of the indicators already known of this type is the STOCK-TO-FLOW, which compares the bitcoin price model with that of other limited-supply assets such as gold or silver. At the moment the cycles it predicts have been fulfilled year after year.
This model does also make a more or less accurate prediction of the price, which will be placed if it is still met at some point between 100ks and 200ks
Related fonts: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com https://medium.com/unconfiscatable/the-puell-multiple-bed755cfe358
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