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@gadrian
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Yes, I was aware of the 10k PAL threshold. I heard Neal talk about the predictive market/oracles a couple of times. I wasn't aware about the change in distribution of rewards, but that was kind of obvious by the quite radical change in the received rewards. I just didn't dig into it, since PAL slowly faded away from my area of interest. And I probably wouldn't have read, if it didn't caught my eye in a news report.
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